Yayin da bikin bazara ke gabatowa, ƙwararrun 'yan kasuwa na ƙasashen waje za su shiga wani muhimmin lokaci na shekara -Farawar 2026 kwata na 1 mai ƙarfi. Dawo da aiki bayan hutu, sake cika kayayyaki a ƙasashen waje, ƙaddamar da sabbin kayayyaki ta intanet a lokacin bazara, da kuma tattara hanyoyin sayayya a kasuwanni masu tasowa, tare da sake fasalin sarkar samar da kayayyaki ta duniya, ƙaruwar buƙatar AI da sabbin makamashi, da canje-canje a tsarin hanyoyin jigilar kaya da ƙimar jigilar kaya -Zaɓin nau'ikan samfuran da suka dace, tsara lokacin tafiyarku daidai, da kuma tabbatar da sararin ɗaukar kaya a gaba zai saita yanayin aikin shekara kai tsaye..
I. Yanayin Cinikin Ƙasashen Waje na 2026 Q1: Ci gaba Mai Dorewa tare da Haɓaka Tsarin
•Ci gaban Jimillar Kasashe: Goldman Sachs ya yi hasashen cewa karuwar fitar da kayayyaki zuwa kasashen waje (wanda aka yi da dala) a kasar Sin za ta kai kashi 5.6% a shekarar 2026, tare da karuwar fitar da kayayyaki zuwa kasashen waje da ta kai kashi 5%, wanda hakan ke nuna juriya mai karfi.
•Mayar da Hankali Kan Tsarin Gida: Kera kayan aiki, masana'antu masu fasaha, sabbin makamashi, da kasuwancin e-commerce na ketare iyaka suna ci gaba da jagoranci; haɓakar fitarwa ta matsakaici da ta jari ya fi na kayayyakin masarufi girma.
•Yanayin Kasuwa: ASEAN da farko, Gabas ta Tsakiya / Rasha / Afirka babban ci gaba ne, Turai da Amurka suna samun ci gaba a ko'ina.
•Muhimman Bayanai: A shekarar 2025, jimillar darajar fitar da kayayyaki daga kasar Sin ta kai RMB tiriliyan 26.99, karuwar kashi 6.1% a shekara bayan shekara; fitar da kayayyaki daga masana'antun kayan aiki ya kai RMB tiriliyan 16.03, wanda ya karu da kashi 9.2%, wanda ya kai kashi 59.4% na jimillar kayayyakin da aka fitar.
•Halayen Jigilar Kayayyaki: Ƙarfin jigilar kaya ya yi ƙasa kafin hutun, yana murmurewa da sauri bayan haka; canjin hanyoyin Asiya-Turai/Bahar Rum, lokutan jigilar kaya masu ɗorewa zuwa Kudu maso Gabashin Asiya/Gabas ta Tsakiya.
II. Rukuni na 2026 na 1 don Farawa Mai Kyau
1. "Sabbin Uku": Babban Injin Shekara, Ci Gaba Mai Dorewa a Rubu'i na 1
Motocin lantarki (EVs), batirin lithium, da kayan aikin photovoltaic (PV) sun kasance mafi ƙarfi wajen haɓaka fitar da kaya zuwa ƙasashen waje. Cikakkun buƙatu bayan hutu a ƙasashen waje, tare da buƙatu masu ƙarfi da tsare-tsare na ababen more rayuwa.
Maɓallin Bayanai:
• An kusanto da jimlar girman fitar da kayayyaki na "Sabbin Uku" a shekarar 2025RMB tiriliyan 1.3, aKashi 3.5 cikin shekaru 5 na karuwar, sama27.1%shekara-shekara.
•Sabbin Motocin Makamashi: An kai ga fitar da kayayyakiRukunin mutane miliyan 2.315a cikin watanni 11 na farko na 2025,+102.9%shekara-shekara; matsakaicin farashin naúrarDala 20,000–30,000; Darajar fitar da kaya ta wata ɗaya a watan Disamba+71.7%shekara-shekara.
•Batirin Lithium: Darajar fitarwa ta 2025RMB biliyan 570.86,+24.4%shekara-shekara; Fitar da kaya daga Janairu zuwa SatumbaDalar Amurka biliyan 55.38,+26.8%shekara-shekara.
•Na'urorin ɗaukar hoto: Fitar da kaya ta wuce kimaRMB biliyan 200na tsawon shekaru 4 a jere; yawan buƙatar tara wutar lantarki a ƙasashen waje a kwata na 1.
Kasuwannin Maɓalli: ASEAN, Gabas ta Tsakiya, Rasha, Arewacin Afirka, Kudancin Amurka
Muhimman Mahimman Mahimman Manufofin Jigilar Kaya:
•NEVs: Jiragen ruwa na Ro-Ro / racks masu faɗi, sanarwar kayayyaki masu haɗari, lasisin fitarwa, izinin kwastam da aka jera
•Batirin Lithium: UN38.3, takardar shaidar kayayyaki masu haɗari, marufi mai iyaka, fifikon sararin layi
•Na'urorin ɗaukar hoto: Cikakken nauyin kwantena, kula da tagar daidaitawar tsarin don ƙimar rangwamen VAT
Hasashen Q1: Ci gaban shekara-shekara da aka ci gaba da samu a25%–40%; sararin akwati mai tsauri yana nunatabbatar da sarari kafin hutun.
2. Lantarki da ICT: Mai amfani da fasahar AI, mai ƙarfi da Semiconductor mai sake dawowa (Bayyana babban ci gaba)
Sabar AI, cibiyoyin bayanai, da kuma sake cika kayan lantarki na masu amfani da su,da'irori masu haɗawa, kwamfutoci, kayan aikin sadarwa, da allunan nunisuna fuskantar koma-baya mai ƙarfi.
Maɓallin Bayanai:
• Darajar fitarwa ta hanyar da'ira ta haɗaka ta Disamba 2025+47.7%shekara-shekara,ya zarce wayoyin hannu a matsayin mafi girman samfurin fitarwa guda ɗaya.
• An cimma karuwar kwamfutoci da kayan aikin sadarwa mara waya na wata guda89.2%kumaKashi 66.9%bi da bi; fitar da wayar hannu+41.2%.
• Kayayyakin da ke da alaƙa da fasahar AI sun ƙaru a Amurka48.3%–89.2%, wanda ke haifar da karuwar yawan kayayyakin da ake fitarwa ta hanyar fasahar sadarwa ta zamani (ICT) a kasar Sin.
Kasuwannin Maɓalli: Amurka, Turai, Kudu maso Gabashin Asiya, Japan, Koriya ta Kudu
Muhimman Mahimman Mahimman Manufofin Jigilar Kaya: Kaya masu daraja sun fi son jigilar jiragen sama / jiragen ruwa masu sauri, sarrafa zafin jiki da danshi, cikakken bin diddigin kaya, da garantin ƙarancin lalacewa.
Hasashen Q1: Lokacin da ake fuskantar matsin lamba wajen jigilar kayan lantarki; farashin jigilar jiragen sama yana ƙaruwa lokaci-lokaci a watan Fabrairu-Maris; ƙimar girma30%+.
3. Injina & Gina Jiragen Ruwa: Rijiyoyin Oda Masu Ƙarfi, Fitar da Kaya Mai Juriya Sosai
Injinan gabaɗaya, motoci, kayan aikin gida, da ginin jiragen ruwaza su amfana daga farfadowar masana'antu a duniya da kuma karuwar da aka samu a cikin jerin abubuwan da suka faru, tare da samar da kayayyaki masu yawa a kwata na 1.
Maɓallin Bayanai:
• An cimma nasarar fitar da kayayyakin injina da na lantarki zuwa ƙasashen waje a shekarar 2025RMB tiriliyan 12.07, sama9.6%, lissafin kuɗiKashi 60.5%na jimillar fitar da kaya.
• Kayayyakin jari kamarjiragen ruwa, janareto, famfo, da kuma kwampresoya ba da gudummawar kashi 0.4–1 cikin ɗari ga jimillar ci gaban fitar da kayayyaki.
Mahimman Rukuni: Famfuna, na'urorin compressors, janareta, na'urorin sanyaya iska na gida, injinan wanki, firiji na kasuwanci, jiragen kwantena / tankuna
Kasuwannin Maɓalli: ASEAN, Gabas ta Tsakiya, Afirka, Kudancin Amurka, Turai
Muhimman Mahimman Mahimman Manufofin Jigilar Kaya: Ƙarfafa manyan kaya, racks masu faɗi / saman da aka buɗe, haɗaɗɗen izinin kwastam da jigilar kaya.
Hasashen Q1: Babban tabbaci, kwangiloli na dogon lokaci da yawa; ƙimar girma8%–12%, ya dace da tsarin sararin samaniya na dogon lokaci.
4. Muhimman Abubuwan Ciniki ta Intanet a Tsakanin Iyakoki: Sabuwar Kayayyaki da aka Kaddamar a Lokacin Bazara + Amfani da Hutu, Ci Gaban Ƙaramin Umarni Mai Sauri
Kaddamar da sabbin kayayyaki a lokacin bazara a ƙasashen waje, lokacin komawa makaranta, sabunta gida, da ayyukan waje, tare da babban ci gaban kasuwancin e-commerce a Kudu maso Gabashin Asiya, Rasha, da Gabas ta Tsakiya -ƙananan kayayyaki masu sauƙi, kayan masarufi masu sauri, kayayyakin gida, da ƙananan kayan aikici gaba da ganin tarin abubuwan fashewa.
Maɓallin Bayanai:
• Ana sa ran matakin fitar da kayayyaki ta intanet na China zai kai ga matakin da ake sa ran zai kaiRMB tiriliyan 3.2a shekarar 2026, inda aka kiyastakashi 28%na jimlar fitar da kayayyaki daga ƙasashen waje.
• Kasuwar kasuwancin e-commerce ta Kudu maso Gabashin Asiya za ta wuce gona da iriDalar Amurka biliyan 150a shekarar 2026, tare da karuwar tattalin arziki a kowace shekara15%; Ci gaban kasuwancin e-commerce na Indonesiakashi 22%, Indiya17.6%.
• Asusun kasuwancin e-commerce na B2B na ketare iyaka don kusankashi 70%, tare da ci gaba mai girma fiye da B2C; girman kaya na Q1+30%+wata-wata.
Manyan Rukuni: Abubuwan da ake buƙata na yau da kullun a gida, kayan ajiya, ƙananan kayan aiki, kayan kicin, nishaɗin waje, kayan wasanni, kayan bazara, kayan dabbobin gida, kayan haɗin 3C
Kasuwannin Maɓalli: Kudu maso Gabashin Asiya (Shagon TikTok), Rasha, Gabas ta Tsakiya, Kasuwancin e-commerce na gida
Muhimman Mahimman Mahimman Manufofin Jigilar Kaya: Takardar ajiyar kaya ta ƙasashen waje don ajiyar kaya, ƙananan fakiti na layi na musamman, sabis na DDP, lokutan jigilar kaya masu ɗorewa, ƙarancin asarar dawowa.
Hasashen Q1: Yawan kaya na kasuwanci ta hanyar lantarki+30%+kowane wata; farashin mil na ƙarshe yana ƙaruwa kaɗan.
5. Muhimman Abubuwan Da Suka Shafi Lokacin Sanyi & Kayayyakin Masu Amfani Da Sauri: Rasha / Gabas Ta Tsakiya / Turai Tagar Cikewa
Janairu-Maris har yanzu shine lokacin zafi a Arewacin Duniya.kayan dumama, yadin gida mai ɗumi, tufafi masu kauri, da ƙananan kayan aikiya kasance mai ƙarfi a Rasha, Gabashin Turai, da Tsakiyar Asiya.
Maɓallin Bayanai:
• Ci gaban fitar da kayayyaki zuwa Rasha da Tsakiyar Asiya ya wuce gona da iri15%+na tsawon lokaci a jere; buƙatar kayan dumama, barguna na lantarki, da jaket ɗin ƙasa.
• Ci gaban fitar da kayayyaki zuwa ƙasashen ASEAN a shekarar 202511.1%, Latin Amurka9.8%, AfirkaKashi 13.7%; ƙarfin juriyar kayayyakin masarufi a kasuwannin da ke tasowa.
Mahimman Rukuni: Na'urorin dumama wutar lantarki, barguna na lantarki, jaket ɗin ƙasa, barguna, ƙananan kayan aiki na Turai
Muhimman Bukatu: Cikakken takaddun shaida (CE/EAC/GOST), daidaitawar ƙarfin lantarki, marufi mai dacewa
Muhimman Mahimman Mahimman Manufofin Jigilar Kaya: Jiragen ƙasa na China-Rasha, layukan jigilar kaya na jiragen sama, lokutan jigilar kaya na tashar jiragen ƙasa masu kwanciyar hankali.
Hasashen Q1: Cikakken kaya cikin wata 1 bayan hutu; kayayyaki ba tare da takardar shaida mai kyau ba na iya zama haɗari.
6. Kayayyakin Noma & Abincin da aka Shirya: Sanin Lafiya, Mai Sauƙi, Ci Gaba Mai Girma a ASEAN / Arewacin Amurka
Abincin da aka shirya, furotin da aka yi da tsire-tsire, kayayyakin ruwa, shayi, da kayayyakin noma na musammanamfana daga yanayin cin abinci mai kyau da kuma buƙatar masu amfani da Sin a ƙasashen waje. Tsarin sanyi da bin ƙa'idodi su ne manyan matakan da za a bi.
Maɓallin Bayanai:
• Fitar da kayayyakin noma daga ƙasashen waje yana ci gaba da ƙaruwa5%–8%; buƙatar kwantena na sarkar sanyi+12%shekara-shekara.
• Ana sa ran kasuwar dabbobin gida ta duniya za ta kusanciDalar Amurka biliyan 500a shekarar 2026, tare da karuwar tattalin arziki a kowace shekara6%–8%; fitar da kayayyakin dabbobin gida yana ƙaruwa a lokaci guda.
Mahimman Rukuni: Kayayyakin waken soya, kayayyakin ruwa, abincin da aka shirya, shayi, goro, kayan ƙanshi
Kasuwannin Maɓalli: ASEAN, Amurka, Kanada, Ostiraliya, Turai
Muhimman Mahimman Mahimman Manufofin Jigilar Kaya: Kwantena na sarkar sanyi, bin diddigin yanayin zafi, duba kayayyaki da kuma shigar da takardu na kwastam, bin ka'idojin lakabi.
Hasashen Q1: Ci gaba mai dorewa, yawan sake siyan kaya, ya dace da jigilar kaya na dogon lokaci.
III. Kasuwannin Q1 na 2026 da Damar Hanya
1. ASEAN (Babban Abokin Ciniki)
• An yi hasashen ƙimar girma na9.4%a shekarar 2026.
• Lokacin jigilar kaya cikin sauri, mai araha, kuma mai araha.
• Jigilar kayayyaki masu yawa nakayan gida, 3C, injina, kayan kasuwancin e-commerce.
Fa'idodi:Jirgin Ruwa na Teku, Jirgin Kasa Mai Sauƙi.
2. Rasha da Tsakiyar Asiya
• Yawan buƙatadumama, kayan aiki, kayan masarufi masu sauri.
• Yawan girma15%+.
• Da farkojiragen ƙasa, jigilar jiragen sama, jigilar ƙasa.
• Fifiko: Bin ƙa'idodi da kuma ba da takardar shaida.
3. Gabas ta Tsakiya
• Bukatar da ake da ita sosaisabbin makamashi, kayayyakin more rayuwa, kayan aiki, kayan lantarki.
• Yawan girma10%–15%.
•jigilar kaya kai tsaye a teku + ajiyar kaya a ƙasashen wajedon ƙarin gasa.
4. Turai (Hanyoyin Bahar Rum / Asiya-Turai)
• Fitar da kaya zuwa Turai ya yi yawa8.1%a cikin watanni 11 na farko na 2025; murmurewa zai ci gaba a 2026.
• Manyan rukunonin:Sabbin makamashi, kayan lantarki, injina.
• Ka yi la'akari da canjin hanya da ƙarin kuɗi;Yi rajistar wuri da wuri.
5. Afirka da Latin Amurka
• Babban ci gaba a cikinmotoci, injina, kayan aiki, kayan gini.
• Ci gaban AfirkaKashi 13.7%, Latin Amurka9.8%.
• Da farkoFCL, yarjejeniyar kwastam mai rikitarwa.
• Ba da shawaramafita na dabaru na tsayawa ɗaya.
6. Amurka
• Murmurewa daga gefe amma a ƙarƙashin matsin lamba.
• An yi hasashen ƙimar ci gaban da ke kewaye-5%a shekarar 2026.
• Mai da hankali kansamfuran da aka ƙara masu daraja, masu sauƙin bin ƙa'ida.
• Fifikon sufuri:Jiragen ruwa masu sauri, sarrafa zafin jiki, babban ganowa.
IV. Muhimman Tunatarwa Kan Kayayyakin Sayarwa da Jigilar Kaya na Q1 na 2026 (Muhimmi ga Ƙwararrun Masana'antar Ciniki ta Ƙasashen Waje)
1. Bikin Hutu na Bazara
• An rufe masana'antu a tsakiyar watan Fabrairu, kuma an ci gaba da aiki a ƙarshen watan Fabrairu.
• Layukan jigilar kaya, tashoshin jiragen ruwa, da kuma kwastam da ke kan aiki.
•Rabin farko na watan Fabrairu shine tagar jigilar kaya ta ƙarshe da aka tattara sosai.
2. Sarari & Farashi
• Kafin hutu: Wuri mai tsauri a hanyoyin kudu maso gabashin Asiya/Gabas ta Tsakiya.
• Bayan hutu: Cikakken murmurewa kafin Maris.
•Ba da fifiko ga samar da sarari don sabbin na'urorin lantarki masu daraja uku.
3. Layukan Ja Masu Biyayya
•Batirin Lithium / NEVs: Marufi mai haɗari, lambar Majalisar Dinkin Duniya, sanarwa akai-akai - a guji riƙe kwantena da tara.
•Kayayyakin Ciniki ta Intanet: Alamomin kasuwanci kafin a duba su, keta doka, takaddun shaida, buƙatun kwastam na inda za a je.
4. Tsarin Dabara Mai Tsayi
•Nau'o'in yawan juyawa masu yawa: Ajiye rumbunan ajiya na ƙasashen waje kafin hutu, a kai su kai tsaye bayan hutu.
•Babban kaya / Kwangiloli na dogon lokaci: Wurin yin rajistaKwanaki 10-15 kafin lokacin, a guji cunkoso a ranar farko da za a koma aiki.
Takaitaccen Bayani: 2026 Farawa Mai Karfi — Mayar da Hankali Kan Manyan Layuka 3
1. Yi niyya ga ɓangarorin da ke da babban ci gaba: Sabbin Uku, Fasahar Sadarwa ta Lantarki, Injinan Gina Jiragen Ruwa da Gina Jiragen Ruwa (Mafi Girman Tabbaci)
2. Kasuwannin da ke Tasowa a Manufa: ASEAN, Rasha, Gabas ta Tsakiya, Afirka (Ci Gaba Mafi Sauri)
3. Kammala Amfanin Kayan Aiki: A tabbatar da sarari kafin hutu, fifita bin ƙa'idodi, a tura rumbun adana kayayyaki zuwa ƙasashen waje, a ba da damar ganin abubuwa daga ƙarshe zuwa ƙarshe
Shekarar Doki ta zo mana. Zaɓar nau'ikan samfura masu dacewa = rabin yaƙin da aka yi nasara. Zaɓar abokin hulɗa na sufuri mai dacewa = tafiya mara damuwa.
Lokacin Saƙo: Fabrairu-28-2026